Why AI Fails When the Market Panics
Why AI Fails When the Market Panics
Blog Article
Joseph Plazo just reminded a room full of elite students something Wall Street won’t admit: AI may be efficient, but it lacks wisdom.
MANILA — This wasn’t a pep talk—it was a strategic slap.
On a humid Thursday morning at the prestigious AIM campus in Manila, Plazo stood before a sea of students from top Asian universities—AIM—ready for a sermon on AI’s glory in finance.
What they got instead? A splash of cold market reality.
“AI is like your smartest intern,” Plazo noted, “But you still don’t give the intern the keys to your vault.”
The room chuckled. Then they grew quiet. Because he meant every word.
### The Hard Truth: AI Is Smart—But Not Human
Let’s be clear—Plazo isn’t some boomer clinging to the past. He builds trading AIs. His firm, Plazo Sullivan Roche Capital, creates some of the most accurate systems across global markets. He understands machine learning like few do.
But that’s why his warning felt urgent.
“The problem isn’t AI,” he told the room. “The problem is us. We keep dreaming it’ll save us from making hard decisions. It won’t.”
Plazo shared real-world case studies—moments when AI signaled winning trades… just ahead of a central bank pivot or an unexpected war. Events that didn’t fit the algorithm.
### Smart Students Tried to Push Back—They Didn’t Win
A student from Kyoto asked if LLMs might someday gauge global sentiment.
Plazo didn’t flinch.
“AI can catch a tweetstorm. But it can’t hear fear in a press conference. It misses regret in a central banker’s sigh.”
The room reacted. That hit different.
Another asked, “Can AI ever understand conviction?”
Plazo raised an eyebrow.
“Conviction isn’t math. It’s gut. It’s forged by failure and memory. You don’t download that.”
### Plazo’s Words = Financial Therapy
This wasn’t about flash trading or chatbots. It was about ethics.
Students admitted they saw AI as a cheat code—an escape hatch from risk, from thinking too hard. Plazo called it out.
“You can automate your trades. You can’t automate your values.”
That line slapped. Because everyone in that room—from the copyright cowboys to the quant whizzes—wanted alpha. But not at the cost of their soul.
### AI’s Real Role? Powerful—But Limited.
Plazo didn’t trash AI. He credited its strengths:
- It filters noise.
- It backtests at scale.
- It spots technical setups better than any human.
But it can’t read sarcasm. It fails to sense when a politician is bluffing. And it doesn’t care if your retirement burns.
“If your AI more info bot makes a bad call,” Plazo asked, “do you still own it? Or do you blame the code?”
That’s leadership talking.
### This Isn’t Just Markets—It’s Mindset
Plazo wasn’t preaching finance. He was preaching maturity. Use AI—but don’t worship it. Let it assist—not decide.
And yes—he still believes in the machines. He’s building tools that track geopolitics, misinformation, even psychological nuance.
But he left no doubt:
“No machine can tell you when *not* to act. That’s your job.”
### Don’t Let Your Bot Decide Who You Are
As the crowd filed out—buzzing, challenged, changed—one phrase echoed down the halls:
“AI doesn’t know your values. So don’t let it make your decisions.”
In a world chasing speed, Plazo offered something rarer:
A choice.
Because investing isn’t just about *winning*. It’s about knowing **why** you played.